Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 4.041251 4.788633 5.665997 6.780015 8.168239 9.856117 12.086562
2024-12-15 3.052377 4.001151 5.262503 7.097334 9.758533 13.575849 19.652693
2024-12-22 2.435102 3.392604 4.766794 6.947059 10.444852 16.073001 26.343230
2024-12-29 2.065214 3.017728 4.470221 6.943351 11.260686 18.934353 34.776705
2025-01-05 1.776506 2.696946 4.171213 6.832527 11.823428 21.499620 43.843586
2025-01-12 1.603025 2.520962 4.060138 6.997290 12.902341 25.387682 57.762525
2025-01-19 1.416580 2.290923 3.811685 6.847666 13.313739 28.030509 70.291302
2025-01-26 1.349088 2.252017 3.889602 7.334652 15.190332 34.742661 98.591585
2025-02-02 1.269196 2.177626 3.886520 7.652750 16.788606 41.500111 132.898156
2025-02-09 1.205291 2.122544 3.909387 8.029190 18.652819 49.920070 181.833773
2025-02-16 1.125424 2.025590 3.831575 8.159258 19.928591 57.276029 235.317539
2025-02-23 1.059453 1.947072 3.779143 8.337613 21.405740 66.166065 308.922148
2025-03-02 0.971639 1.827013 3.648676 8.375849 22.764953 76.642176 418.645319
2025-03-09 0.914947 1.766775 3.648642 8.782255 25.587476 95.930788 645.962128
2025-03-16 0.829169 1.631143 3.449144 8.588376 26.325285 107.031544 851.651092
2025-03-23 0.765634 1.535172 3.326761 8.583582 27.775681 123.441098 1191.806898
2025-03-30 0.703113 1.432978 3.171553 8.440623 28.656557 138.111695 1606.464089
2025-04-06 0.664634 1.380701 3.133108 8.653207 31.147433 166.182490 2478.674267
2025-04-13 0.612838 1.290596 2.981722 8.460145 31.798460 183.303533 3345.028469
2025-04-20 0.598777 1.288855 3.065356 9.089308 36.715284 241.803055 6427.098229
2025-04-27 0.576883 1.264955 3.084146 9.501490 40.913164 304.703240 11900.151826
2025-05-04 0.558642 1.247773 3.119096 9.990464 45.972952 391.045595 24317.290514
2025-05-11 0.531962 1.205616 3.074122 10.159707 49.370820 470.274819 45657.377438